Olympic Athletics: Men’s 100m Predictions

August 24, 2026

Olympic Athletics: Men’s 100m Predictions

This preview and betting guide looks at the men’s Olympic 100 metres with a clear split between verified facts and editorial prediction. It is written for global athletics fans and bettors tracking the road to Los Angeles 2028 (LA28). We summarise recent championship form, season leaders and personal bests, explain how bookmakers typically handle athletics markets, and close with a reasoned prediction and practical betting approach. Verified facts are cited; predictions are editorial and clearly labelled.

Quick context: where we are and what’s certain

  • The most recent Olympic 100m final was won by Noah Lyles (USA) in Paris 2024; the official Paris 2024 result list shows Lyles 1st (9.79) and Kishane Thompson 2nd (9.79), with Fred Kerley 3rd (9.81). (worldathletics.org)
  • LA28 (Los Angeles 2028) is scheduled for 14–30 July 2028; LA28 published a competition timetable showing the Games window and that athletics finals will sit early in the Games schedule (men’s 100m is programmed in the athletics window). All session-level schedules can change; check LA28 and World Athletics for final timetables closer to the event. (la28.org)
  • Entries for the Olympic 100m are not locked now—each NOC may enter up to three qualified athletes if they meet the entry standard or qualify by ranking; national selection (for example, the U.S. Trials) will determine which athletes take those places. Do not rely on any “confirmed starters” until national federations publish final entry lists. (See Olympic / event quota rules and national trials practice.) (scribd.com)

Who matters: the short longlist (verified PBs and recent form)

Below are the principal names an Olympic 100m bettor should be tracking in 2026–2028. PB and selected recent form are factual and sourced; the later prediction section explains how we weight these facts for betting.

© 2026 elements-running.com

Athlete Country 100m PB Recent season highlight(s) / notes
Noah Lyles USA 9.79 Paris 2024 Olympic champion (9.79 PB). Remains active in Diamond League and national champs; reclaimed/retained US national-level titles and posted world‑leading 9.79 at the 2026 USATF Outdoor Championships. (worldathletics.org)
Oblique Seville JAM 9.78 (career best) 2025 World champion; Jamaican national winner and early 2026 world‑lead level performances (9.82/9.83 in domestic/meet finals). In 2026 he has been among the season leaders and Diamond League contenders. (worldathletics.org)
Letsile Tebogo BOT 9.86 Young multi-distance sprinter (100/200); set national record 9.86 in the Paris 2024 final and continues to be a finals-level major-championship performer. (worldathletics.org)
Christian Coleman USA 9.76 World-class starter and former world champion; PB 9.76 (Doha 2019). Regular Diamond League performer; remains a top U.S. 100m threat when fit. (worldathletics.org)
Trayvon Bromell USA 9.76 Proven finalist and sub-9.80 performer; remains petulant for titles and posts competitive Diamond League / US meet results through 2026. (worldathletics.org)
Andre De Grasse CAN 9.89 Experienced multi-medallist at Olympics Worlds; still competitive at Diamond League level in 2026. (athletics.ca)
Kishane Thompson JAM 9.75–9.79 range (season dependent) Paris 2024 silver medallist; remains a dangerous big-championship performer (has produced very fast championship rounds). (worldathletics.org)
Kayinsola Ajayi NGR 9.84 (2026 WL at time of writing) Breakthrough collegiate/young sprinter who posted the world‑leading 9.84 in May 2026; a genuine “wild card” going forward. Watch progression and major-championship experience. (worldathletics.org)
Bayanda Walaza RSA 9.89 (PB in 2026) Emerging South African sprinter with sub-9.90 performances in 2026—important to monitor in an open field. (businessday.co.za)